5
Bravo Kitten
7yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 76
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 04/09/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |