1
Lullaby Land
8yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 71
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Meadowlands | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-03 | Meadowlands | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/06/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |