6
Quiet City
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 66
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-14 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-03-07 | Penn National | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +18.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |