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6yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 85
Meadowlands · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 02/01/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 57% | -0.27 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 03/09/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |