In The Chase
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 87
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-12 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 27/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 12/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 09/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |