1
Jerry's Turn
8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 38
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Meadowlands | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 04/04/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/04/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 31/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 06/07/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 15/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 04/10/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |