The Bullion Bomber
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 84
Meadowlands · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 89% | +0.10 |
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 03/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 31/10/2025 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |