12
Nelson Jenilou
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Cassard - Attele · 1m 3f 67y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |