10
Night Bel
3yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Cassard - Attele · 1m 3f 67y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-26 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Nantes | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +25.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |