2
Nolly Wood
3yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Cassard - Attele · 1m 3f 67y
#4
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength6%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +4.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength1%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 30% | -0.33 |
| 09/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 23/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |