1
Norbert De Gachere
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Cassard - Attele · 1m 3f 67y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-08-27 | Pornichet | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Nantes | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +13.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |