3
La Candeur
5yo Filly · 9-13
Nantes · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Reims | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 20/01/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/02/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 18/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 79% | -0.04 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |