11
Latino Boy
5yo Gelding · 10-3
Nantes · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
39/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 58% | -0.27 |
| 09/02/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 33% | -0.09 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |