10
Le Missouri
5yo Gelding · 9-10
Nantes · Prix De La Societe Du Trotteur Francais - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Pornichet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 20/04/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 31/07/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 25/08/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 08/03/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.05 |