11
Maranella
4yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Groupe Atlantic - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-05-15 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 91% | +0.36 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 20/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.15 |
| 06/07/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 18% | -0.63 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |