8
Morgane De Toi
4yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Groupe Atlantic - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Saint-Malo | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-15 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-17 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-19 | Mauquenchy | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/12/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 17/03/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 15/04/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |