3
Major De L'ecorce
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Du Petit-port - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#12
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Pornichet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Pornichet | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 21/08/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |