12

Mercato Meslois

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Nantes · Prix Du Petit-port - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#3

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Les Sables 09/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 09/07C?C0 @ Le Mans 15/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 015/12C?C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 02/03C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Cabourg50
2026-04-13Argentan?0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?0
2026-03-02Caen?4th4th0
2026-02-21Nantes50
2026-01-14Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0715/122/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +3.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/07/20255th10/147%60%+0.13
15/12/20252nd12/137%90%+0.53
02/03/20264th17/255%75%+0.20