10
Harmonie Clefoise
9yo Mare · 10-3
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#15
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-09-15 | Pornichet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2023-08-29 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2023-05-14 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/2021 | 10th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 22/07/2022 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/09/2022 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 16/10/2022 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 14/05/2023 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 47% | -0.11 |
| 29/08/2023 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 15/09/2023 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/03/2026 | 15th | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |