5
Ici Machecoul
8yo Gelding · 10-3
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-08 | Craon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Chatelaillon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-03-12 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2022-12-28 | Pontchateau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2022-05-12 | Cholet | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2022 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 19/02/2022 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 10/03/2022 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 12/05/2022 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 47% | +0.42 |
| 28/12/2022 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 85% | -0.06 |
| 12/03/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 16/05/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 08/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.38 |