14
Ideal Du Gazon
8yo Gelding · 9-13
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Cholet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Agen | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-09-02 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 23/03/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 08/04/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 18/05/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 44% | -0.32 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |