8
Iris D'avignere
8yo Gelding · 9-13
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +6.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-30 | Enghien | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Reims | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2024-12-10 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Strasbourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/2024 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 16/03/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 30/03/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 27/05/2024 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 25/10/2024 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/12/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 15/03/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/04/2025 | 16th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |