9
Irpieu De Varville
8yo Horse · 9-4
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#13
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today: 6
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 7 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/07/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/07/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/09/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |