16
Izzie D'eronville
8yo Mare · 9-13
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Pornichet | 6 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Laval | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 15/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.00 |
| 31/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 42% | -0.19 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 23/04/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 19/09/2026 | 17th | 200/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |