1
Jadore Girl
7yo Mare · 10-3
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chartres | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Cholet | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 08/06/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 93% | +0.88 |
| 18/12/2025 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/01/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/06/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 20/08/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |