7

Jewel Of Sebha

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pontchateau 22/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 14322/12C?C0 @ Nantes 17/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 14/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 014/02C?C0 @ Pornichet 31/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 20/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 27/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Chartres 26/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 026/04C?6 @ Pornichet 20/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 15/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-08-20Pornichet68th8th0
2026-04-26Chartres?3rd3rd0
2025-10-27Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0
2025-09-20Pornichet?4th4th0
2025-07-31Pornichet?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1231/0726/0415/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +6.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/12/20244th13/266%81%+0.15
17/01/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
14/02/20252nd6/168%93%+0.25
31/07/202510th6/168%47%-0.21
20/09/20254th10/147%80%+0.33
27/10/20255th25/10%73%+0.73
26/04/20263rd28/10%87%+0.87
20/08/20268th14/126%36%+0.10
15/09/20266th20/10%64%+0.64