4
Judicy De Vive
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.5
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 8 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-01-25 | Nantes | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-03-17 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-12-19 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-11-28 | Mauquenchy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 16/10/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 09/11/2024 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 28/11/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 19/12/2024 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/03/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 25/01/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 08/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |