13
Juen Emondeville
7yo Gelding · 10-3
Nantes · Prix Jules Verne - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.24 |
| 25/01/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 24/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |