5
L'etoile Filante
5yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#9
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | Toulouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-01-27 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Pontchateau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 7-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2024 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 27/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 30/04/2025 | 8th | 15/8 | 90% | 36% | -0.54 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |