7
La Valley Fligny
5yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/05/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 05/06/2025 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |