6

Lady D'elfe

5yo Filly · 0-0

Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 20/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 020/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 06/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 06/04C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 06/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 09/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/10C?C0 @ Chartres 16/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/10/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/10C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 22/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y 05 @ Mauquenchy 10/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/095projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Mauquenchy54th4th0
2026-07-30La Capelle?0
2026-07-04Vichy6−1
2026-06-22Le Croise-Laroche?3rd3rd0
2025-11-08Le Croise-Laroche?0
2025-10-28Vincennes?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/026/0828/1010/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20258th28/10%36%+0.36
28/02/20254th16/116%77%+0.61
06/04/20254th18/15%77%+0.72
06/08/202510th40/10%31%+0.31
09/10/202511th66/10%33%+0.33
16/10/20257th66/10%45%+0.45
28/10/202513th100/10%29%+0.29
22/06/20263rd16/116%86%+0.70
10/09/20264th100/10%82%+0.82