2
Lady De Melleray
5yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#12
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Reims | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-02-21 | Amiens | 6 | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/07/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |