11
Lespana Du Bocage
5yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
76%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Cherbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Chartres | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 14/08/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |