3

Lettre A France

5yo Filly · 0-0

Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#16

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 17/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 017/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 24/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 024/07C?C0 @ Pornichet 25/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 025/08C?5 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 015/025C0 @ Chatelaillon 12/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 012/07C?C0 @ Les Sables 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 04/08C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Les Sables?7th7th0
2026-07-12Chatelaillon?10th10th0
2026-06-01Nantes?0
2026-02-15Pontchateau510th10th0
2025-08-25Pornichet?7th7th0
2025-07-24Pornichet?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0724/0725/0815/0212/074/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20256th20/10%50%+0.50
24/07/20257th16/116%33%+0.18
25/08/20257th7/163%57%-0.06
15/02/202610th33/10%47%+0.47
12/07/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
04/08/20267th33/10%50%+0.50