12
Lola Du Clos
5yo Filly · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De Nantes - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-17 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 28/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 21/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 31/10/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 64% | -0.21 |
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 18/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/06/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |