10
L'idealiste
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De L'automne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#7
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Laval | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |