1

Lazio Des Touches

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Nantes · Prix De L'automne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y

#5

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Angers 15/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 015/016C0 @ Cordemais 08/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/03C?6 @ Pornichet 13/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 013/086projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Pornichet67th8th−1
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?0
2026-03-08Cordemais?4th4th0
2026-01-15Angers61st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/018/0313/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%

Delivery trend -17.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20261st50/10%100%+1.00
08/03/20264th13/266%75%+0.09
13/08/20267th40/10%65%+0.65