1

Lazio Des Touches
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De L'automne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-08 | Cordemais | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Angers | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -17.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |