12
Liego
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De L'automne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Laval | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 69% | -0.10 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 20/03/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 05/06/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |