6
Lightning Arctic
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De L'automne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-29 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-15 | Le Mans | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 7-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 15/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |