14
Lugano De Houelle
5yo Colt · 0-0
Nantes · Prix De L'automne - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#1
Rank
Odds
17/10
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
86%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Lisieux | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 5 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -14.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 10/12/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 09/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 58% | -0.15 |
| 26/02/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 1/4 | 99% | 50% | -0.49 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |