7
Ibana De Monti
8yo Mare · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#11
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-02-07 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2025-09-20 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-06-02 | Nantes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength82%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2023 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 07/11/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 27/02/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 01/04/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 28/08/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 12/11/2024 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 20/04/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 07/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |