10
If De La Coudre
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-17 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-19 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Les Sables | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Cordemais | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 87% | +0.29 |
| 05/02/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 16/02/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 08/04/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 20/04/2025 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 24% | -0.24 |
| 09/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/07/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 46% | -0.17 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 92% | -0.03 |