6
Illico Fligny
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#15
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Lisieux | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-15 | Angers | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength75%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2024 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/01/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 24/01/2025 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 16/06/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 15/01/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 24/03/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 24/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |