8
Jana D'armor
7yo Mare · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Feurs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 7 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 06/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 87% | -0.05 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 10/05/2026 | 10th | 2/1 | 89% | 25% | -0.64 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 70% | -0.26 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 15% | -0.48 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |