5
Job Kervilou
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Pornichet | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 29/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 14/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.78 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 53% | -0.07 |