14
Joma Ov
7yo Mare · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#14
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Amiens | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 06/04/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.04 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |