3
Jupille De Godrel
7yo Mare · 0-0
Nantes · Prix Kervegan - Attele · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | +1 | ||
| 2026-08-16 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 12-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2024 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 02/03/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 08/04/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 27/04/2025 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 15/06/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |