Cusack
8yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 61
Newcastle · Northumbrian WaterAid Handicap · 1m 4f 98y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Newcastle | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Newcastle | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-10-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Newcastle | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 29/08/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/09/2025 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 17/10/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 06/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 20/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 02/06/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |