6
That Darn Cantor
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65
Newcastle · Northumbrian WaterAid Handicap · 1m 4f 98y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Nottingham | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-30 | Yarmouth | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 3 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/04/2026 | 5th | 300/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |