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Phaedra

4yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 59

Newcastle · Esh Stantec Handicap · 1m 2f 42y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times on turf for Richard Hannon in 2025. Turned in best effort for current yard when runner-up at Doncaster in June but hasn't scaled same heights in pair of starts on turf/all-weather more recently.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 02/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 63 · 1m4f51y Std 153 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 63 par2/026OR 635 @ Southwell 10/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 59 · 1m13y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/03/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m142y Std 134 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 59 par17/036OR 595 @ Southwell 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 63 · 1m3f23y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Lingfield 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 1m4f1y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 64 par20/045OR 645 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 63 · 1m1f104y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 67 · 1m2f43y GF 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 67 par26/065OR 675 @ Nottingham 04/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m2f50y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 67 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 61 · 1m4f51y Std 133 · below its mark01/09/2026 · OR 61 par1/096OR 61projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-07-04Nottingham55th4th+1
2026-06-26Doncaster52nd1st+1
2026-06-01Wolverhampton510th9th+1
2026-04-20Lingfield54th3rd+1
2026-04-02Southwell52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/022/0426/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 8-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/02/202612th18/15%0%-0.05
10/03/20262nd28/10%91%+0.91
17/03/20267th5/174%40%-0.34
02/04/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
20/04/20264th11/142%40%-0.02
01/06/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
26/06/20262nd12/137%83%+0.46
04/07/20265th10/382%20%-0.62
01/09/20266th8/158%0%-0.58